It's time to build a predictive model to fight Covid-19. This is how it can be done
Despite best efforts across the world, the threat posed by Corona virus remains unabated. Despite different approaches by the policy makers, the results so far are a mixed bag of successes and failures where humankind is still trying to catchup with the virulent pandemic. Lockdown, which several countries have now adopted, and in some, ruthlessly enforced, was considered to be a panacea by all but cases continue to rise in spite of this unprecedented measure. The lockdown might have produced relative benefits but paradoxically countries like Pakistan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka without lockdown measures have not fared any badly. This brings us to the same question again and again: Are we doing enough by imposing lockdown at the cost of larger and individual economic hardship?And, if not, what is the alternative? Let us accept the lockdown gave us confidence and time to build on our resources and re-strategise. In the current scenario we are not certain at which stage the disease...